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NC Nursecast Released! Nurse Shortage Ahead? Interactive Nurse Workforce Projections by Region and Setting

NC Nursecast is the culmination of more than two years of development by the Cecil G. Sheps Center’s Program on Health Workforce Research and Policy with funding from the North Carolina Board of Nursing. You can use the interactive tools at today!

An animated screen capture of the NC Nursecast model being used to generate a map of the baseline supply and demand for RNs in hospitals and then of the supply and demand for RNs in hospitals if nurses were to leave the workforce five years early


NC Nursecast consists of two parts:

The Supply & Demand Model is an interactive, web-based tool that forecasts the future supply and demand for Registered Nurses (RNs) and Licensed Practical Nurses (LPNs) in various practice settings in North Carolina. The model is based on historical nurse licensure data, state population data, health care utilization data, and expert input from a nursing advisory committee. These sources were used to develop baseline estimates of how many nurses NC will have and how many nurses NC will require from 2019-2033.

The Graduate Diffusion Tool is a separate interactive, web-based tool that allows users to see where students in NC’s nurse training program practice after graduating. The tool shows the percent of each program’s graduates working in North Carolina, the percent employed in different settings, and the percent located in rural areas.